Conf = ACC
Nickname = VA Cavaliers Coach = Lars TiffaGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 96.8666000 home-field advantage = -0.69 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 210 H Michigan B1G (10- 7, 94.7) 19-11 217 A Richmond Atlantic 10 (10- 6, 93.1) 14-10 225 H Ohio State B1G ( 6- 9, 93.5) 14- 8 302 H Johns Hopkins B1G (11- 5, 96.3) 14-16 305 H Robert Morris ASUN ( 5-10, 85.2) 16- 7 309 A Towson CAA (13- 4, 94.3) 19-15 316 A Maryland B1G (11- 6, 96.3) 14-10 319 H Albany America East (10- 8, 91.8) 16-10 323 H Drexel CAA ( 6- 9, 89.2) 14- 4 330 A Harvard Ivy ( 8- 5, 93.0) 13-10 406 H North Carolina ACC ( 7- 7, 93.8) 14- 6 414 A Duke ACC (13- 6, 97.0) 12-18 420 A Syracuse ACC (12- 6, 96.7) 17-18 427 H Notre Dame ACC (16- 1, 99.9) 9-11 503 N Notre Dame ACC (16- 1, 99.9) 9-18 511 H St Josephs (PA) Atlantic 10 (12- 4, 93.6) 17-11 519 N Johns Hopkins B1G (11- 5, 96.3) 11-10 525 N Maryland B1G (11- 6, 96.3) 6-12
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 210 H Michigan 19-11 8 2 ++ 4.10 217 A Richmond 14-10 4 3 0.91 225 H Ohio State 14- 8 6 4 1.91 302 H Johns Hopkins 14-16 -2 1 - -3.24 305 H Robert Morris 16- 7 9 12 0.00 309 A Towson 19-15 4 1 + 2.14 316 A Maryland 14-10 4 0 ++ 4.13 319 H Albany 16-10 6 5 0.24 323 H Drexel 14- 4 10 8 0.00 330 A Harvard 13-10 3 3 -0.20 406 H North Carolina 14- 6 8 3 + 3.29 414 A Duke 12-18 -6 0 -- -5.13 420 A Syracuse 17-18 -1 0 -0.50 427 H Notre Dame 9-11 -2 -2 0.34 503 N Notre Dame 9-18 -9 -3 - -3.97 511 H St Josephs (PA) 17-11 6 3 + 2.09 519 N Johns Hopkins 11-10 1 0 0.45 525 N Maryland 6-12 -6 0 --- -6.57UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 525 N Maryland 6-12 -6 0 --- -6.57 414 A Duke 12-18 -6 0 -- -5.13 302 H Johns Hopkins 14-16 -2 1 - -3.24 503 N Notre Dame 9-18 -9 -3 - -3.97OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 210 H Michigan 19-11 8 2 ++ 4.10 316 A Maryland 14-10 4 0 ++ 4.13 309 A Towson 19-15 4 1 + 2.14 406 H North Carolina 14- 6 8 3 + 3.29 511 H St Josephs (PA) 17-11 6 3 + 2.09
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 96.87 Power Rank................. 3 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 87.02 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 4 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .7051 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 4 RPI Rating............... .6431 RPI Rank................... 4 Champ. Probability ...... 6.5 Championship Rank ......... 5 Selection sum ........... 13 Selection Rank ............ 4 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... 85. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 5 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... 90. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 5 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 13.8 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 11.4 Wins/Losses(all )...... 12- 6 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 2.4 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 6.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 6.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 3.3 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 0.3